The New Atlas First Principles: Cutting Through US-European Political Theater
▪️The war in Ukraine is a US war, started by the US, serving solely US interests;
▪️The US politically captured Ukraine in 2014, controls its government and economy completely, as well as heads both its military and intelligence operations;
▪️All aspects of the war's continuation require complete and constant US backing politically, financially, militarily - including both weapons and ISR;
▪️Without this continuous and complete support the war would almost instantly end;
With this in mind, please tell me with what "leverage" either Ukraine or Europe are able to in any conceivable way "obstruct" or "oppose" a US "peace" proposal?
The answer is obvious - there is ZERO leverage. Thus, we are watching political theater meant to deceive, deflect, and distract from the reality the US does not seek peace - it seeks Minsk 3.0.
This theater takes place on various levels:
- between the US and Europe/Ukraine; -within the EU and Ukraine;
- within the US 2 party system;
- within the Trump administration itself;
The Why...
It allows each component of Western political theater to blame the other and preserve its own utility in controlling various segments of the Western population and overseeing aspects of various agendas.
It allows the US as a whole to blame Europe and Europe to blame the US for any collapse of Ukraine.
It helps create "automatic" support across segments of the public - for example - "the Democratic Party is against President Trump's peace deal? Well then I'm ALL FOR it!!!"
It also compartmentalizes the inevitable violation of any agreement Russia is foolish enough to make with the US regarding Ukraine - or any unilateral action taken by either Europe or Ukraine if no agreement is made (like European/non-European troops moving into Ukraine outside the framework of any deal).
One thing that is definitely NOT happening is the US genuinely wanting "peace" or some sort of constructive "relationship" with Russia - something it has never sought, ever, and is not about to do so now no matter how badly some desire otherwise.
There is zero evidence or precedent suggesting otherwise.
We just watched this same form of theater play out between the US and its Israeli proxies regarding Iran amid a war the US sought to wage first by proxy, then enter into itself - as laid out in policy papers as early as 2009.
The purpose was to pin the responsibility and retribution on America's proxies, rather than assume it itself.
And it worked.
The US is now repeating this exact same process again in Europe regarding the EU/Ukraine/Russia.
It really is that simple, no matter how compelling/appealing this political theater appears time to time and no matter how badly we wish any sort of genuine peace might be at hand.